Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Sergi Fita Juan and Vlado Jankanj in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sergi Fita Juan' if Sergi Fita Juan advances against Vlado Jankanj. This market will resolve to 'Vlado Jankanj' if Vlado Jankanj advances against Sergi Fita Juan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sergi Fita Juan vs Vlado Jankanj | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Sergi Fita Juan, a Spanish ITF circuit regular, faces Vlado Jankanj at the ITF Men's event in Kursumlijska Banja, Serbia, scheduled for 2 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 56% implied probability for Fita Juan's advancement, suggesting modest favouritism despite limited recent head-to-head data between these lower-ranked competitors. The settlement window closes 7 June, providing a one-week buffer for match completion.
Both players operate primarily within ITF Futures tournaments, where surface conditions and recent form carry substantial weight. Fita Juan has maintained a presence on European clay circuits, whilst Jankanj competes sporadically on the regional circuit. Historical patterns at Kursumlijska Banja—a Challenger-tier venue hosting ITF events—show that seeding and ranking differential typically correlate with outcomes, though upsets occur at roughly 35–40% frequency when lower-ranked players face mid-tier opposition. The 56% probability sits within expected ranges for a player with marginal ranking advantage.
Traders should monitor official ITF entry lists and any withdrawal announcements through the ATP/ITF database, as scheduling changes and player withdrawals are common at this tier. Surface conditions at the Serbian venue—typically clay—will influence play style matchups. The early morning scheduling (5:35 AM ET) may affect broadcast availability and information flow. Any delay beyond 7 June without a completed match triggers a 50-50 resolution, introducing tail risk that current pricing may not fully capture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sergi Fita Juan vs Vlado Jankanj" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$384 in lifetime turnover and $49K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $384 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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