Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Gregor Hausberger and Oleksii Krutykh in the ITF Men Ljubljana, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gregor Hausberger' if Gregor Hausberger advances against Oleksii Krutykh. This market will resolve to 'Oleksii Krutykh' if Oleksii Krutykh advances against Gregor Hausberger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Ljubljana: Gregor Hausberger vs Oleksii Krutykh | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Gregor Hausberger and Oleksii Krutykh are scheduled to compete in an ITF Men's tournament match in Ljubljana on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Hausberger victory at 8%, implying roughly 92% probability for Krutykh. This pricing reflects significant confidence in the Ukrainian player, though ITF-level matches—particularly early-round encounters—carry inherent volatility given the lower seeding consistency and player preparation variance compared to ATP events.
Hausberger, an Austrian player, and Krutykh represent the lower-ranked tier of professional tennis where recent form, injury status, and court-surface adaptation become decisive factors. Historical ITF match data shows that when probability spreads exceed 85% in favour of one player, upsets occur in roughly 12–15% of cases, often driven by unexpected fitness issues in the favoured player or tactical advantages on clay courts. Ljubljana's red clay surface favours baseline consistency, which may advantage either player depending on recent clay-court performance records.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP entry lists through early June for any late withdrawals or injury announcements. Weather conditions in Ljubljana during the scheduled window—particularly rain delays that could extend beyond the 7-day settlement buffer—represent a secondary consideration. Any announcement of Krutykh's withdrawal or significant injury would immediately shift market pricing; conversely, confirmation of both players' participation without incident would likely reinforce current odds. The settlement window closes 7 June 2026, allowing minimal margin for rescheduling complications.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Ljubljana: Gregor Hausberger vs Oleksii Krutykh" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$162 in lifetime turnover and $611 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $162 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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