Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Rachel Gailis and Kenzie Nguyen in the ITF Women Lakewood, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rachel Gailis' if Rachel Gailis advances against Kenzie Nguyen. This market will resolve to 'Kenzie Nguyen' if Kenzie Nguyen advances against Rachel Gailis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Rachel Gailis vs Kenzie Nguyen | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Rachel Gailis faces Kenzie Nguyen in an ITF Women's event at Lakewood, originally scheduled for 3 June 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 70% implied probability for Gailis advancing, as shown across Polymarket's order book. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion before the 50-50 tie-break clause activates.
Both players compete primarily on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. Gailis's current probability advantage suggests traders view her as the stronger player on available data, though ITF matches often feature volatile results given the developmental level of competition. Historical ITF upsets occur frequently enough that a 30% probability for the underdog Nguyen reflects reasonable uncertainty rather than dismissal.
Traders should monitor tournament scheduling announcements and any weather delays affecting the Lakewood venue, as rescheduling beyond the seven-day window would trigger automatic 50-50 resolution. Withdrawal announcements from either player would also shift probabilities sharply. Recent ITF results for both players—particularly performances on hard courts in the weeks leading to early June—will inform whether the current order book pricing holds or rebalances. Any injury reports or ranking changes affecting either competitor's tournament participation should be tracked through official ITF channels and player social media.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Rachel Gailis vs Kenzie Nguyen" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9 in lifetime turnover and $654 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $9 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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