Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Weronika Falkowska and Vittoria Paganetti in the ITF Women Bol, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Weronika Falkowska' if Weronika Falkowska advances against Vittoria Paganetti. This market will resolve to 'Vittoria Paganetti' if Vittoria Paganetti advances against Weronika Falkowska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Weronika Falkowska vs Vittoria Paganetti | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Weronika Falkowska and Vittoria Paganetti are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Bol, Croatia on 27 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a Falkowska victory, reflecting either extreme confidence in Paganetti's superiority or minimal trading activity establishing a baseline price. With the settlement window closing 3 June, traders have roughly one week from the scheduled match date to assess the outcome.
Falkowska, a Polish player, and Paganetti, an Italian competitor, operate within ITF circuits where ranking disparities and recent form fluctuations significantly influence match outcomes. ITF Women's matches at this tier frequently feature players ranked between 400–800 on the WTA scale, where head-to-head records are sparse and surface-specific performance varies considerably. The 0% probability suggests either a substantial ranking or recent-form advantage to Paganetti that has been priced in, or that the market has received limited participation from traders familiar with both players' current trajectories.
Traders should monitor official ITF and WTA databases for any withdrawal announcements, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match is cancelled outright. Scheduling confirmations closer to late May will clarify whether the match proceeds as planned or faces delays that could extend beyond the seven-day buffer. Recent injury reports or qualifying-round results from either player in the weeks preceding the event would provide concrete data to reassess the current pricing, particularly if either player demonstrates unexpected form shifts in comparable ITF or WTA events.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Weronika Falkowska vs Vittoria Paganetti" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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