Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Yanki Erel and Kevin Edengren in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanki Erel' if Yanki Erel advances against Kevin Edengren. This market will resolve to 'Kevin Edengren' if Kevin Edengren advances against Yanki Erel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Yanki Erel vs Kevin Edengren | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Yanki Erel and Kevin Edengren are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kutaisi tournament on 28 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Erel's advancement, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme pricing suggests either overwhelming confidence in Erel's superiority or minimal liquidity at the current price, a common pattern in lower-tier professional tennis markets where trading volume remains sparse.
ITF Futures events at this level typically feature significant variance in player performance, particularly when comparing competitors across different regional circuits. Historical resolution data from comparable ITF tournaments shows that heavily favoured players (those trading above 95% implied probability) advance approximately 92–95% of the time, though upsets do occur with measurable frequency. The gap between 100% and realistic historical win rates indicates the market may be pricing in either incomplete information about the matchup or simply reflecting the absence of meaningful counter-bets.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through the ITF's official schedule updates, typically published 48 hours before play. Player injury reports and recent match results from either competitor's preceding tournaments would provide concrete data to challenge the current pricing. The settlement window extends to 4 June 2026, allowing seven days for completion; any delay beyond that triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for those holding positions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Yanki Erel vs Kevin Edengren" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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