Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Allegra Korpanec Davies and Alina Nesmianovych in the ITF Women Banja Luka, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Allegra Korpanec Davies' if Allegra Korpanec Davies advances against Alina Nesmianovych. This market will resolve to 'Alina Nesmianovych' if Alina Nesmianovych advances against Allegra Korpanec Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Banja Luka: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Alina Nesmianovych | 93% YES | 8% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Allegra Korpanec Davies faces Alina Nesmianovych in the ITF Women's tournament at Banja Luka, scheduled for 5 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 93% implied probability for Davies to advance, suggesting the market views her as a clear favourite. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity where participants are weighing available information about both players' recent form, head-to-head records, and surface conditions in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Davies holds a notable ranking advantage and has demonstrated consistency on the ITF circuit, which typically underpins the substantial probability gap observed here. Comparable ITF women's matches featuring similarly ranked players show that 90%+ probabilities are reserved for matchups with pronounced disparities in playing level or recent trajectory. The current market pricing aligns with this pattern when Davies's recent tournament results and Nesmianovych's ranking differential are factored in.
Traders should monitor ITF official announcements regarding court surface conditions and any scheduling changes, as the settlement window extends to 12 June—providing a seven-day buffer for delays. Weather disruptions at Balkan venues in early June are not uncommon, and surface-specific performance data could shift positioning if either player has documented clay-court vulnerabilities. Withdrawal announcements from either competitor would trigger immediate repricing, though the high probability suggests the market currently assigns low probability to such outcomes.
The 2025 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the second edition of the tournament which is part of the 2025 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 20 and 26 January 2025.
The 2026 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the third edition of the tournament which is part of the 2026 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 16 and 22 February 2026.
The ITF Bengaluru Open is a tournament for professional female tennis players played on outdoor Hard courts. The event is classified as a $100,000 ITF Women's Circuit tournament and has been held in Bengaluru, India, since 2024.
Irfan Jauhari is an Indonesian professional footballer who plays as a winger or forward for Super League club Persis Solo.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Banja Luka: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Alina Nesmianovych" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3 in lifetime turnover and $615 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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