Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Allegra Korpanec Davies and Irina Balus in the ITF Women Szentendre, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Allegra Korpanec Davies' if Allegra Korpanec Davies advances against Irina Balus. This market will resolve to 'Irina Balus' if Irina Balus advances against Allegra Korpanec Davies. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Szentendre: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Irina Balus | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Allegra Korpanec Davies faces Irina Balus in a Women's ITF tournament match scheduled for 29 May 2026 in Szentendre, Hungary. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a Davies victory, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong conviction amongst early traders that Balus will advance. With the settlement window closing 7 June 2026, there remains substantial time for additional information to shift market pricing, though the extreme probability suggests either a significant disparity in player rankings or limited liquidity in this particular match contract.
Davies and Balus operate at the lower-tier professional circuit where ITF rankings and recent form carry substantial weight in determining outcomes. Comparable ITF Women's matches typically see probability distributions reflecting the higher-ranked player's advantage, though upsets occur with measurable frequency—particularly when lower-ranked players face opponents with recent injuries or form slumps. The 0% probability on Davies warrants scrutiny: it may indicate Balus holds a decisive ranking advantage, or conversely, it may reflect insufficient market participation to price in realistic upset scenarios.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player injury announcements through late May. Recent player statements regarding fitness, travel logistics to Hungary, or schedule changes could materially affect match conditions. The early morning scheduling (4:00 AM ET) may influence performance factors. Any withdrawal or postponement announcement would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, fundamentally altering the contract's value proposition.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Szentendre: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Irina Balus" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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