Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Defne Cirpanli and Anastasia Lepskaya in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Defne Cirpanli' if Defne Cirpanli advances against Anastasia Lepskaya. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Lepskaya' if Anastasia Lepskaya advances against Defne Cirpanli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Defne Cirpanli vs Anastasia Lepskaya | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Defne Cirpanli and Anastasia Lepskaya are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Tsaghkadzor, Armenia on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects zero probability for Cirpanli's advancement, suggesting either extremely thin liquidity, a data lag, or market participants pricing in a high likelihood of match cancellation or non-completion rather than a decisive Lepskaya victory.
ITF Women's events at this tier have historically experienced fixture volatility due to travel logistics, player withdrawals, and scheduling conflicts. Armenian venues in particular have seen fixture disruptions in previous seasons. The 0% implied probability on the order book warrants scrutiny—such extreme readings typically indicate minimal trading activity rather than confident market consensus, particularly for matches scheduled seven weeks ahead where player availability remains uncertain.
Traders should monitor player injury reports and ITF entry lists as the tournament approaches. The settlement window closes 3 June 2026, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date; any delay beyond that triggers a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of both players' participation in the Tsaghkadzor draw, expected in late April, will be the primary catalyst for genuine price discovery. Recent ITF scheduling announcements should be cross-referenced against official tournament documentation to verify fixture status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Defne Cirpanli vs Anastasia Lepskaya" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$45 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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