Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Diletta Cherubini and Alice Rame in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diletta Cherubini' if Diletta Cherubini advances against Alice Rame. This market will resolve to 'Alice Rame' if Alice Rame advances against Diletta Cherubini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caserta: Diletta Cherubini vs Alice Rame | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Diletta Cherubini and Alice Rame are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Caserta on 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Cherubini's advancement at 42 per cent, reflecting modest confidence in the Italian player despite home-court advantage. This probability has formed through typical ITF match dynamics, where ranking differentials and recent form carry substantial weight in pricing.
Both players operate within Italy's domestic ITF circuit, where Cherubini holds a ranking advantage that historically correlates with progression odds in the 55–65 per cent range for favoured competitors. Rame's pricing at 58 per cent reflects either comparable recent performance metrics or uncertainty regarding Cherubini's current fitness status. ITF matches at this level show high completion rates, with walkovers or retirements occurring in roughly 8–12 per cent of scheduled fixtures, though the seven-day resolution window substantially reduces settlement ambiguity.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player social media for withdrawal announcements in the 48 hours preceding the match, as last-minute scratches occasionally shift probabilities sharply. Court conditions and weather forecasts for the Caserta venue merit attention, particularly given the early morning scheduling (4:00 AM ET). Recent ITF results for both players—available through the WTA's ITF database—will clarify whether the current 42 per cent reflects genuine form divergence or market inefficiency relative to their head-to-head history.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caserta: Diletta Cherubini vs Alice Rame" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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