Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Patcharin Cheapchandej and Lunda Kumhom in the ITF Women Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patcharin Cheapchandej' if Patcharin Cheapchandej advances against Lunda Kumhom. This market will resolve to 'Lunda Kumhom' if Lunda Kumhom advances against Patcharin Cheapchandej. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Lunda Kumhom | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Patcharin Cheapchandej and Lunda Kumhom are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's circuit event at Nakhon Pathom on 13 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 70% implied probability for Cheapchandej's advancement, suggesting the market perceives a meaningful gap in competitive strength between the two players. Settlement occurs by 21 May 2026, allowing a one-week window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
ITF Women's tournaments at the Nakhon Pathom venue typically attract players ranked between 400–800 on the WTA scale, with match outcomes heavily influenced by recent form and surface adaptation. Cheapchandej's 70% implied probability aligns with patterns seen in comparable ITF matchups where one player holds a clear ranking or recent-tournament advantage. Historical data from similar lower-tier ITF events shows that when one competitor commands this level of confidence, it often reflects recent wins, head-to-head records, or documented ranking differentials rather than speculative positioning.
Traders should monitor official ITF draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements in the days preceding 13 May, as last-minute scratches occasionally reshape probability distributions. Court surface conditions at Nakhon Pathom and any late injury reports will influence order book activity closer to match time. The one-week settlement window is standard for ITF events, though weather delays in Thailand during May remain a minor tail risk.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Lunda Kumhom" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8 in lifetime turnover and $18 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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