Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Leonardo Cattaneo and Jacob Bradshaw in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Cattaneo' if Leonardo Cattaneo advances against Jacob Bradshaw. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Bradshaw' if Jacob Bradshaw advances against Leonardo Cattaneo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Leonardo Cattaneo vs Jacob Bradshaw | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Leonardo Cattaneo and Jacob Bradshaw are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Monastir tournament on 3 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture within the ITF circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. Cattaneo, an Italian player, faces Bradshaw, a British competitor, in what constitutes a direct head-to-head encounter at this satellite level of professional tennis.
The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 12% implied probability for Cattaneo's advancement, suggesting the market views Bradshaw as the favoured outcome. This pricing emerges from the aggregate of traders' assessments regarding relative playing strength, recent form, and head-to-head history. ITF matches at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 200, where performance variance remains considerable and historical records between opponents often prove limited. The probability assignment reflects available information on both players' recent tournament results and surface-specific performance data.
Traders monitoring this market should track any official ITF announcements regarding schedule changes, player withdrawals, or surface conditions at the Monastir venue. Recent injury reports or late-form developments in either player's preceding matches could materially shift the order book before the 3 June fixture. Weather disruptions remain a standard consideration for outdoor tennis events in North Africa during early June. The settlement window extends to 10 June, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion, though delays beyond this threshold would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Leonardo Cattaneo vs Jacob Bradshaw" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$127 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $127 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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