Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Bocchi and Alan Aiukhanov in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Bocchi' if Lorenzo Bocchi advances against Alan Aiukhanov. This market will resolve to 'Alan Aiukhanov' if Alan Aiukhanov advances against Lorenzo Bocchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Alan Aiukhanov | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lorenzo Bocchi and Alan Aiukhanov are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Tsaghkadzor tournament on 27 May 2026, with the match originally set for 3:30 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Bocchi's advancement, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme pricing suggests either overwhelming confidence in Bocchi's superiority or minimal liquidity at the current price, a common dynamic in lower-tier tennis markets where trading volume remains sparse.
ITF Futures events at this level typically feature significant volatility in match outcomes, particularly when one player carries a substantial ranking or seeding advantage. Historical resolution patterns for comparable ITF men's matches show that markets priced at extremes—90% or higher—often reflect incomplete information about player fitness, recent form, or surface-specific capabilities rather than genuine certainty. Bocchi's current rating relative to Aiukhanov's would need substantial documentation to justify such decisive pricing; absent recent ATP or ITF ranking data, traders should treat the 100% figure as a liquidity artefact rather than a calibrated forecast.
Key catalysts include official ITF tournament draws and any withdrawal announcements closer to the scheduled date. Surface conditions at the Tsaghkadzor venue—typically clay—may favour one player's style significantly. The settlement window extends to 3 June 2026, allowing a seven-day grace period for delayed matches. Traders should monitor for late scratches or weather disruptions common to Eastern European spring tournaments, which could trigger the 50-50 tie-break resolution clause if the match remains unplayed beyond the deadline.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Alan Aiukhanov" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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