Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Bertacchi and Romy De Baene in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Bertacchi' if Anastasia Bertacchi advances against Romy De Baene. This market will resolve to 'Romy De Baene' if Romy De Baene advances against Anastasia Bertacchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Romy De Baene | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Anastasia Bertacchi and Romy De Baene are scheduled to contest a first-round match at the ITF Women's Monastir tournament on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bertacchi's advancement, indicating near-complete confidence in her victory amongst active traders. This extreme skew typically emerges when one player holds a substantial rating advantage, possesses superior recent form, or when liquidity is thin and early positioning has anchored expectations at an extreme.
ITF Women's tournaments at the Monastir venue have historically favoured players ranked in the top 300 on the WTA scale, particularly those with established clay-court records. Bertacchi's career trajectory and seeding status relative to De Baene would largely determine whether such a probability reflects genuine expectation or merely sparse order-book depth. Comparable first-round matches at regional ITF events typically settle within a 65–85% range for the favoured player, suggesting the current 100% reading warrants scrutiny regarding whether it reflects true market conviction or insufficient counterparty interest.
Traders should monitor official ITF draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through early June, as schedule delays or cancellations trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent player injury announcements or ranking updates in the fortnight before the event could shift the underlying probability materially. The settlement window closes 7 days after the scheduled date, providing a buffer for weather-related postponements common to clay-court events in North Africa.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Romy De Baene" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$746 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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