Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Nahia Berecoechea and Alicia Dudeney in the ITF Women Estepona, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nahia Berecoechea' if Nahia Berecoechea advances against Alicia Dudeney. This market will resolve to 'Alicia Dudeney' if Alicia Dudeney advances against Nahia Berecoechea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Estepona: Nahia Berecoechea vs Alicia Dudeney | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nahia Berecoechea and Alicia Dudeney are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Estepona on 24 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture within the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero implied probability for a Berecoechea victory, suggesting either minimal trading activity or strong conviction amongst early traders that Dudeney will advance.
ITF Women's matches at this level often reflect significant disparities in player ranking and recent form. Berecoechea, a Spanish player competing on home soil, might ordinarily carry modest advantage in such fixtures, yet the market's complete dismissal of her chances warrants examination of recent head-to-head records, current ranking positions, and recent tournament results for both competitors. Historical patterns in ITF betting show that home-court advantage occasionally fails to materialise when ranking gaps are substantial.
Traders should monitor player withdrawal announcements through the ITF's official schedule updates and any injury disclosures in the fortnight preceding the match. Weather conditions at Estepona in late May could affect surface play, particularly if rain forces rescheduling beyond the seven-day grace period outlined in settlement terms. The settlement window closes 31 May at 10:00 UTC, providing limited time for resolution if delays occur. Early liquidity remains sparse, indicating the market may sharpen considerably as the fixture date approaches and additional information surfaces regarding player fitness and form.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Estepona: Nahia Berecoechea vs Alicia Dudeney" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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