Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kira Bataikina and Sevil Yuldasheva in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kira Bataikina' if Kira Bataikina advances against Sevil Yuldasheva. This market will resolve to 'Sevil Yuldasheva' if Sevil Yuldasheva advances against Kira Bataikina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kira Bataikina vs Sevil Yuldasheva | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Kira Bataikina and Sevil Yuldasheva are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament at Tsaghkadzor, Armenia on 26 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Bataikina's advancement, suggesting the market has priced in either strong confidence in her form relative to Yuldasheva or significant uncertainty about whether the match will occur as scheduled. This extreme probability typically emerges when one player holds a substantial ranking advantage, recent tournament success, or when liquidity remains thin on the order book.
ITF Women's events at this tier frequently feature significant disparities in player development trajectories and ranking points. Historical resolution patterns for similar low-tier ITF matches show that matches scheduled in regional venues occasionally face cancellation or postponement due to travel logistics, visa complications, or tournament organisation issues—factors that would trigger the 50-50 tie-break resolution. Bataikina's career trajectory and recent ITF results would need to substantially exceed Yuldasheva's documented form to justify such an extreme probability in typical circumstances.
Traders should monitor ITF official announcements regarding tournament confirmation, player withdrawals, and any schedule adjustments through late May. The settlement window closes 2 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches. Confirmation of both players' participation and recent head-to-head records, if available, would provide material information for reassessing the current pricing on the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kira Bataikina vs Sevil Yuldasheva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$342 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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