Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Pierluigi Basile and Lucio Ratti in the ITF Men Grado, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against Lucio Ratti. This market will resolve to 'Lucio Ratti' if Lucio Ratti advances against Pierluigi Basile. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Grado: Pierluigi Basile vs Lucio Ratti | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Pierluigi Basile and Lucio Ratti are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Grado tournament on 29 May 2026, with the winner advancing in the draw. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Basile, indicating that traders are pricing in either strong confidence in a Ratti victory or significant uncertainty around match execution. Settlement occurs by 5 June 2026, allowing a one-week window for completion.
ITF Futures events at the Grado venue typically proceed as scheduled, though weather disruptions and player withdrawals remain material risks in May on the Italian Adriatic coast. Historical ITF Men's draws show that lower-ranked players often carry compressed odds when facing opponents with recent ATP or higher-level ITF exposure. Without current ATP rankings or recent head-to-head records readily available, the 0% pricing suggests either Ratti holds a documented advantage or Basile's participation status remains uncertain as of market inception.
Traders should monitor ITF official draws and player entry lists through late May, as confirmations often arrive within 72 hours of tournament start. Withdrawal announcements, injury updates, or late ranking changes could shift the order book substantially. The settlement window's seven-day grace period provides some buffer for scheduling delays, but any cancellation or unfinished match defaults to 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk asymmetry that may explain current pricing if match completion confidence is low.
Note: in this context, IT does not mean Information Technology, but it is an Engineering term.
The ITF Grand Prix Circuit was a professional tennis tour for male players founded in 1970 as the Grand Prix Tennis Circuit it was administered by the International Tennis Federation (ITF) and ran annually until 1989 when it and the rival WCT Circuit were replaced by a single world wide ATP Tour.
The ITF Junior Circuit is the premier level for worldwide competition among under-18 junior tennis players, organized by the International Tennis Federation. Founded in 1977 with only nine tournaments, the 2011 ITF Junior Circuit offered over 350 tournaments in 118 countries. Mirroring the ATP and WTA tours, the ITF Junior Circuit ranks players and crowns a
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Grado: Pierluigi Basile vs Lucio Ratti" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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