Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Monique Barry and Lidia Podgorichani in the ITF Women Nakhon Pathom, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Monique Barry' if Monique Barry advances against Lidia Podgorichani. This market will resolve to 'Lidia Podgorichani' if Lidia Podgorichani advances against Monique Barry. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| ITF Nakhon Pathom: Monique Barry vs Lidia Podgorichani | 48% YES | 53% NO |
Monique Barry and Lidia Podgorichani are scheduled to contest an ITF Women's match at Nakhon Pathom, Thailand on 13 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders about which player will advance. This even pricing suggests neither competitor carries a clear statistical edge in the eyes of the market, despite potential differences in ranking, recent form, or head-to-head record.
Both players compete on the ITF Women's circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on surface conditions, recent tournament results, and momentum. Barry and Podgorichani's respective trajectories through qualifying rounds and lower-tier events provide the primary data points for assessing their current competitive standing. Historical ITF matchups between similarly ranked opponents typically show that home-court advantage, recent wins, and surface specialisation can shift probabilities meaningfully, though the 50-50 pricing here suggests the market has found these factors roughly balanced.
Traders should monitor official ITF draws and any withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 13 May, as player injuries or schedule conflicts occasionally force cancellations or postponements. The settlement window extends to 21 May, allowing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches. Any confirmed withdrawal by either player would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent form updates, particularly results from ITF events in April and early May, will likely shift the order book as the match date approaches and new information enters the market.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Nakhon Pathom: Monique Barry vs Lidia Podgorichani" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $95 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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