Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez and Fausto Tabacco in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez' if Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez advances against Fausto Tabacco. This market will resolve to 'Fausto Tabacco' if Fausto Tabacco advances against Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Monastir: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Fausto Tabacco | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez faces Fausto Tabacco in an ITF Men's event at Monastir, Tunisia, scheduled for 26 May 2026. The match is a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Turriziani Alvarez's advancement, suggesting the market has priced in either substantial form differential, recent head-to-head history, or surface-specific advantages favouring the Argentine player.
ITF Monastir tournaments typically attract players ranked outside the ATP top 200, with matches often decided by consistency and court familiarity rather than elite-level athleticism. Historical ITF outcomes show that seeding and recent tournament results carry predictive weight, though upsets remain common at this level. The extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny—such pricing often emerges when one player holds a significant ranking advantage or when limited liquidity concentrates early trades in one direction.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP databases for any withdrawal announcements or schedule changes between now and the 26 May fixture. Surface conditions at the Monastir clay courts and any late injury reports will be material catalysts. The settlement window extends to 2 June, allowing seven days for match completion; delays beyond that trigger a 50-50 resolution. Current odds suggest minimal perceived uncertainty, leaving limited value unless new information surfaces regarding player availability or form deterioration.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Fausto Tabacco" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$150 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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