Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Dusan Lajovic in the Perugia, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Dusan Lajovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' if Dusan Lajovic advances against Henrique Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic | 74% YES | 27% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Henrique Rocha and Dusan Lajovic are scheduled to meet in the Perugia ATP Challenger tournament on 4 June 2026. The match currently trades at 50–50 on Polymarket's order book, reflecting genuine uncertainty between the two competitors. Settlement occurs on 11 June, allowing a one-week window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50–50 resolution regardless of outcome.
Lajovic, a former top-30 player with ATP 500 experience, typically enters Challenger events as a seeded favourite when competing at this level. Rocha, a Brazilian player on the secondary tour, has shown variable form across regional circuits. Historical ATP Challenger matchups between established players and rising challengers at Perugia have favoured the higher-ranked competitor roughly 65–70 per cent of the time, suggesting the current 50–50 pricing may underweight Lajovic's experience advantage if he enters as the higher seed.
Traders should monitor official ATP and tournament draw announcements, expected within days of the scheduled date, which will confirm seeding and recent ranking movements for both players. Injury withdrawals at Challenger level occur in roughly 8–12 per cent of matches; any news of either player's fitness or late scratches would materially shift the order book. Weather conditions in Perugia during early June and court surface preferences—clay is standard for the event—may also influence match dynamics once draws are finalised and head-to-head records become clearer.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Dusan Lajovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9 in lifetime turnover and $358 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $9 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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