Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Christopher Papa and Philip Sekulic in the Bengaluru 2, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christopher Papa' if Christopher Papa advances against Philip Sekulic. This market will resolve to 'Philip Sekulic' if Philip Sekulic advances against Christopher Papa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bengaluru 2: Christopher Papa vs Philip Sekulic | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Christopher Papa faces Philip Sekulic in the Bengaluru 2 tournament, scheduled for 13 May 2026. The match is set for 4:30 AM ET, with the settlement window closing on 20 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Papa's advancement at 16%, reflecting substantial backing for Sekulic as the favoured outcome. This probability emerges from live trading activity where the spread between bid and ask prices settles the implied likelihood traders are willing to accept.
Papa and Sekulic operate at similar professional levels within the ATP Challenger circuit, where outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface preference, and head-to-head records. Sekulic's higher implied probability suggests traders view him as the stronger player in this matchup, though the 16% price for Papa indicates meaningful uncertainty. Comparable Challenger matches at this stage typically see the favoured player priced between 60–75%, positioning this market within normal ranges for competitive fixtures between ranked opponents.
Traders should monitor tournament draws and any schedule adjustments in the week preceding 13 May, as the early morning ET slot creates potential for rescheduling. Injury announcements or withdrawal news from either player would immediately shift the order book. Surface conditions at the Bengaluru venue and recent ATP Challenger results from both players in the fortnight before the match will provide concrete data points for reassessing the current 16% valuation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bengaluru 2: Christopher Papa vs Philip Sekulic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $294 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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