Trade: Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Orel Kimhi and Philip Henning in the Centurion 2, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Orel Kimhi' if Orel Kimhi advances against Philip Henning. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Orel Kimhi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $21K
- Total Volume
- $1K
- 24h Volume
- $1K
- Open Interest
- $1K
Market outcomes
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 20% YES | 81% NO |
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 29% YES | 71% NO |
| Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning Set 1 Winner | 28% YES | 72% NO |
Market context
Orel Kimhi and Philip Henning are scheduled to compete in the Centurion 2 tennis tournament on 2 June 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, indicating genuine uncertainty about which player will advance from this first-round matchup. Settlement occurs on 9 June, allowing a week for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that window triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Both players operate primarily on the lower-tier professional circuit, making direct historical comparison difficult. Kimhi, an Israeli player, and Henning, a German competitor, have limited overlapping tournament history at major venues. Their respective rankings and recent form on the Challenger and ITF circuits will be the primary determinants of outcome probability. Previous meetings between players of similar calibre at Centurion events have typically favoured the player with more recent match fitness and higher ranking, though upsets remain common in early-round encounters.
Traders should monitor official Centurion 2 draw confirmations and any late withdrawals or injury announcements in the days leading to 2 June. Weather conditions at the venue could affect match scheduling, and surface preference—the Centurion is typically played on hard courts—may favour one player's style. Recent ATP or ITF results for both competitors will provide the most reliable signal for adjusting positions before the settlement window closes.
Wikipedia Context
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Feliciano CenturiónFeliciano Centurión was a Paraguayan visual artist who lived most of his life in Argentina. He was known for his work in textiles that included embroidery, crochet, knitting and blanket-making.
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Custodian helmetThe custodian helmet is a type of helmet worn predominantly by male police officers in the United Kingdom and within certain other places around the world. First used by the Metropolitan Police in London in 1870, the BBC labelled the custodian helmet a "symbol of British law enforcement". They are worn by male constables and sergeants on foot patrol. A cultu
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Cornelius the CenturionCornelius was a Roman centurion who is considered by some Christians to be the first Gentile to convert to the faith, as related in Acts of the Apostles. The baptism of Cornelius is an important event in the history of the early Christian church. He may have belonged to the gens Cornelia, a prominent Roman family.
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Centurion (organization)
Centurion is a non-profit organization located in Princeton, New Jersey, with a mission to exonerate innocent individuals who have been wrongly convicted and sentenced to life sentences or death.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$1K in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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