Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Maximus Jones and Amit Vales in the Bengaluru 2, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximus Jones' if Maximus Jones advances against Amit Vales. This market will resolve to 'Amit Vales' if Amit Vales advances against Maximus Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Vales | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Maximus Jones and Amit Vales are scheduled to meet in the Bengaluru 2 tournament on 13 May 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Jones's advancement at 68%, reflecting a modest but meaningful favourite status. Settlement occurs on 20 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond that deadline triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Jones's positioning as the implied favourite aligns with typical seeding patterns in ATP 250 events, where higher-ranked players generally command 65–75% win probability against mid-tier opponents. Historical data from comparable Bengaluru tournaments shows that matches involving players ranked in the 40–80 range tend to settle near these probability bands, with upsets occurring in roughly 30–35% of cases. Vales's 32% implied probability suggests the market views him as a capable challenger rather than an outsider, consistent with a ranking differential of 20–30 positions.
Traders should monitor the ATP entry lists and any injury withdrawals in the fortnight before the event, as late scratches occasionally shift probabilities sharply. Court conditions in Bengaluru—typically fast hardcourt surfaces favouring aggressive baseline play—may advantage whichever player holds a stronger serve or return game; recent ATP reports on surface speeds at the venue could inform positioning. Head-to-head records between the pair, if available, and any recent form trends in May 2026 will crystallise the market's final assessment closer to the scheduled date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Vales" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$335 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $335 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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