Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Kouzmine/Strombachs and Henning/Lock in the Centurion, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kouzmine/Strombachs' if the team of Kouzmine/Strombachs advances against Henning/Lock. This market will resolve to 'Henning/Lock' if the team of Henning/Lock advances against Kouzmine/Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Centurion (Doubles): Kouzmine/Strombachs vs Henning/Lock | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A doubles tennis match between Kouzmine/Strombachs and Henning/Lock is scheduled for 29 May 2026 at the Centurion tournament. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Kouzmine/Strombachs advancing, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme pricing typically emerges when one pairing holds a substantial competitive advantage or when information asymmetries favour one outcome decisively. The settlement window closes on 5 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date for match completion.
Historical precedent suggests that 100% probabilities in doubles markets are rare and often reflect either significant ranking differentials or recent head-to-head records heavily favouring one team. Doubles pairings can shift rapidly based on player availability and form, yet such extreme pricing typically indicates the market has already priced in known factors—whether seeding advantage, recent tournament performance, or surface suitability. Comparable markets on Polymarket show that when one pairing is substantially favoured, the probability rarely moves unless injury announcements or withdrawal notices emerge.
Traders should monitor for fixture changes, player withdrawals, or late-stage partnership adjustments in the days preceding 29 May. Any announcement regarding injury to either Kouzmine, Strombachs, Henning, or Lock would be a material catalyst. Surface conditions at Centurion and recent ATP doubles standings may also influence whether the current pricing holds. The seven-day delay clause means matches postponed beyond 5 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution, introducing tail risk for positions held through that window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Centurion (Doubles): Kouzmine/Strombachs vs Henning/Lock" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$732 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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