Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Henri Squire in the Heilbronn, originally scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Henri Squire. This market will resolve to 'Henri Squire' if Henri Squire advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Completed Match | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 77% YES | 24% NO |
| Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Match O/U 21.5 | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Set 1 Winner | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire Match O/U 22.5 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Alejandro Moro Canas and Henri Squire are scheduled to meet in the Heilbronn tournament on 5 June 2026. The market currently prices Moro Canas's advancement at 54% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting modest confidence in the Spanish player's prospects. Settlement occurs on 12 June, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or extended delay beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Both players operate at the lower tiers of professional tennis, where historical matchup data and recent form carry substantial weight in pricing. Moro Canas has competed primarily on the Challenger and ITF circuits, whilst Squire similarly lacks extensive ATP-level exposure. The 54% probability suggests the market views Moro Canas as a slight favourite, likely reflecting recent ranking positions or head-to-head records if available. Comparable lower-tier matches on Polymarket typically show tighter odds when players lack significant historical separation in ability.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any injury announcements in the week preceding 5 June. Heilbronn's grass-court surface may favour certain playing styles—a factor worth tracking through practice reports or pre-match commentary from ATP media. Weather disruptions are material given the outdoor venue and early morning scheduling (5:00 AM ET). Court assignments and potential scheduling shifts should be verified through the official ATP Challenger Tour calendar as the event date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Heilbronn: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Henri Squire" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $98K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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