Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Agamenone and Radu Albot in the Chisinau, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Franco Agamenone' if Franco Agamenone advances against Radu Albot. This market will resolve to 'Radu Albot' if Radu Albot advances against Franco Agamenone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Chisinau: Franco Agamenone vs Radu Albot | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Franco Agamenone and Radu Albot are scheduled to meet in the Chisinau tournament on 29 May 2026. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Agamenone's advancement, suggesting the order book has priced in a decisive outcome or structural advantage. This extreme pricing warrants scrutiny, as tennis matches rarely settle with such certainty absent injury withdrawals or late scratches.
Albot, a Moldovan player competing in his home nation, typically carries home-court momentum in regional events. However, Agamenone's recent form and ranking relative to Albot will determine the match's actual competitive balance. Historical precedent shows that home-nation advantages in lower-tier tournaments often compress significantly once play begins, yet the current Polymarket order book appears to discount this entirely. The 100% reading suggests either incomplete information on the traders' side or a high probability that one player has already withdrawn or signalled unavailability.
Traders should monitor official ATP and tournament communications through early June for withdrawal announcements, injury updates, or schedule changes. The settlement window closes 5 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date. Any delay beyond 5 June without a completed match triggers a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of both players' participation and fitness status in the days immediately preceding the match will be the primary catalyst for repricing; current odds suggest this information has not yet reached the order book, or one outcome is already known to insiders.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Chisinau: Franco Agamenone vs Radu Albot" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: