Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Hickey" if Sam Hickey is officially declared the winner of the fight against Todd Tompkins at Zuffa Boxing 7: Billam-Smith vs. Rozicki, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Tompkins" if Todd Tompkins is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.ufc.com/.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hickey vs. Tompkins | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Sam Hickey faces Todd Tompkins in a middleweight bout at Zuffa Boxing 7 on 6 June 2026, with the main card headlined by Billam-Smith versus Rozicki. The market currently reflects a 50-50 implied probability across Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders view this matchup as genuinely competitive with no clear consensus favourite emerging ahead of the event.
Middleweight bouts at Zuffa Boxing events have historically produced decisive outcomes, with technical decisions and no-contests remaining uncommon at this promotion level. The 50-50 split indicates limited public information differentiating the fighters' prospects, typical for undercard matchups where detailed fight film and recent performance data remain less accessible than headline bouts. Similar evenly-priced fights at comparable promotions typically resolve when one fighter's record, recent form, or training camp reputation becomes clearer in the weeks before competition.
Key catalysts for traders include official weigh-in results on 5 June, which may reveal conditioning or injury concerns, and any late withdrawals or substitutions that would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Zuffa Boxing's official announcements regarding fighter health, weight compliance, or schedule changes will be material. The settlement window closes shortly after the scheduled fight time on 6 June, leaving minimal time for post-fight clarification; traders should monitor UFC.com for official results and scoring decisions, as draws or technical rulings would resolve the market at 50-50 rather than to either fighter.
Zuffa Boxing is a professional boxing promotion company founded by CEO of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), Dana White, and Chairman of the Saudi Arabian General Entertainment Authority (GEA), Turki Al-Sheikh. The company is a joint venture between Sela and TKO Group Holdings (TKO), and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Zuffa Boxing 7: Hickey vs. Tompkins (Middleweight, Main)" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6 in lifetime turnover and $21 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 51%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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