Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Slovenia and Bahrain in a WTT event, scheduled for April 30 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Slovenia' if Slovenia wins against Bahrain. This market will resolve to 'Bahrain' if Bahrain wins against Slovenia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Men's Singles: Slovenia vs Bahrain | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A men's singles table tennis match between Slovenia and Bahrain is scheduled for 30 April at 7:30 AM ET as part of a WTT event. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Slovenia, indicating the market has priced this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme probability typically emerges when one competitor holds a substantial competitive advantage, though such pricing leaves minimal margin for upset outcomes or operational disruptions.
Slovenia maintains a considerably higher ranking and competitive history in international table tennis than Bahrain, which explains the decisive market positioning. Historical precedent shows that WTT matches between nations with significant skill gaps tend to resolve predictably, though individual match outcomes can occasionally deviate from rankings due to form, fatigue, or tactical factors. The settlement window extends to 7 May, providing a week-long buffer for match completion and result confirmation.
Traders should monitor the official WTT schedule for any fixture changes, player withdrawals, or venue alterations in the days preceding the match. Injury announcements or late roster adjustments could shift the probability, though such developments are uncommon at this stage. The primary risk to the current pricing lies in match cancellation or extended delays beyond the seven-day threshold, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of both players' participation and final scheduling details typically arrive within 48 hours of fixture time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Men's Singles: Slovenia vs Bahrain" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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