Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season). If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered. If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Jeff Bezos | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Larry Ellison | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Marshawn Lynch | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| John Stanton | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Tim Cook | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Buyer D | — | |
| Buyer F | — | |
| Buyer K | — | |
The Seattle Seahawks remain under the control of the Paul G. Allen estate through Vulcan LLC, with no majority sale announced as of late 2024. The market settles on 9 September 2026 if a binding agreement for majority ownership is publicly confirmed by that date; otherwise it resolves to "Other". Current order book pricing implies a 25% probability of a sale completing within the settlement window.
The NFL has seen limited majority ownership transfers in recent years, making historical precedent somewhat sparse. The most comparable recent case involved the Denver Broncos sale in 2022, which took approximately two years from initial interest to completion at $4.65 billion. The Jacksonville Jaguars' 2023 sale to Tony Khan occurred relatively quickly once serious negotiations began. These transactions suggest that once formal discussions commence, timelines can compress significantly, though regulatory approval and due diligence remain variable factors. The Seahawks' valuation would likely exceed $5 billion given market inflation and the franchise's market position.
Traders should monitor announcements regarding Vulcan's strategic intentions, particularly any statements from the estate's leadership about long-term ownership plans. The NFL's ownership approval process, typically requiring three-quarters of team owner votes, represents a critical dependency. Media reports on prospective buyers—whether from technology, finance, or sports backgrounds—will signal momentum. The 2026 NFL draft (April) and the start of the 2026 season itself (September) bookend the settlement window, with any sale announcement likely occurring well before the deadline to allow regulatory clearance.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$71K in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $157 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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