Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for May 16 at 6:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Zorya Luhansk (-1.5) | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| FK Polissia (-1.5) | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| FK Zorya Luhansk (-2.5) | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| FK Polissia (-2.5) | 36% YES | 65% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 74% YES | 26% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 53% NO |
FK Zorya Luhansk will face FK Polissia in a Ukraine Premier Liha fixture on 16 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market currently prices the "More Markets" proposition at 33% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting trader assessment that additional betting markets will be offered for this match. The current pricing suggests moderate confidence that supplementary markets beyond standard match outcomes will materialise, though roughly two-thirds of the order book is positioned against this outcome.
Ukraine Premier Liha matches typically attract limited secondary market depth outside major European leagues, particularly for fixtures involving mid-table sides. Historical precedent shows that liquidity-dependent markets for Ukrainian football often fail to expand beyond core offerings unless the match carries playoff implications or involves top-four clubs. Zorya Luhansk and Polissia are both established Premier Liha sides, but neither commands the consistent market attention that would guarantee extended market proliferation. The 33% probability reflects this structural constraint—traders are pricing in genuine uncertainty about whether Polymarket will deem the match sufficiently liquid to justify additional markets.
Catalysts affecting this market include Polymarket's internal liquidity assessments closer to match day, any late-season playoff scenarios that might elevate the fixture's profile, and broader platform decisions about Ukrainian football coverage. The settlement window closing 16 May at 10:00 AM ET provides a narrow window for market expansion decisions. Traders should monitor whether either club's league position shifts dramatically in the weeks preceding the match, as this could trigger increased platform interest and justify additional market creation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Polissia - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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