Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between FK Zorya Luhansk and FK Polissia, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Polissia match originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
FK Zorya Luhansk will face FK Polissia in the Ukraine Premier Liha on 16 May 2026. The market prices the probability of an exact score occurring at 49%, reflecting substantial uncertainty about which specific scoreline will materialise. This exact-score market settles only on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties. Should the actual score not match any explicitly listed outcome, the market resolves to "Any Other Score," which typically captures a significant portion of probability mass in such markets.
Exact-score markets in domestic football leagues historically show that the most common outcomes—draws and narrow victories—concentrate roughly 60–70% of probability across their listed options, leaving 30–40% for "Any Other Score." The current 49% YES probability suggests the order book on Polymarket is pricing this match's listed scorelines as moderately likely, with meaningful probability assigned to less common results. Comparable Ukraine Premier Liha fixtures between mid-table and lower-ranked sides typically produce 1–2 goals per team, though variance remains substantial.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Zorya Luhansk's recent form and Polissia's home-ground advantage (if applicable) will influence pre-match expectations. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the Ukrainian season may affect squad rotation and intensity. Any official postponement announcements would keep the market open until completion, potentially extending settlement beyond the initial window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Polissia - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $61 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: