Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between FK Zorya Luhansk and FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Zorya Luhansk | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 0% YES | 100% NO |
FK Zorya Luhansk will host FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in a Ukraine Premier Liha fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current orderbook on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a YES resolution, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong consensus that the event will not occur as specified. With settlement closing at 15:00 UTC that day, traders have approximately five months to assess whether conditions will permit the match to proceed.
Ukraine's football calendar has faced persistent disruption since 2022, with fixtures postponed, relocated, or cancelled due to security concerns and infrastructure damage. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, based in a city near the Russian border, has experienced particular logistical challenges. Historical precedent suggests that even scheduled Premier Liha matches can be withdrawn or rescheduled with limited notice. The zero probability may reflect market participants' view that either the fixture will not take place as originally scheduled, or that resolution criteria require specific conditions unlikely to be met.
Key catalysts include official announcements from the Ukrainian Football Association regarding the 2025–26 season calendar, any escalation in regional military activity affecting Kharkiv Oblast, and venue availability confirmations from both clubs. Traders should monitor fixture confirmations released typically 4–6 weeks before matchday. The settlement window's precision—ending at 15:00 UTC on the scheduled date—means that even a postponement announced after that time would likely resolve according to the stated criteria, making timing of announcements material to the outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://upl.ua/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://upl.ua/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: