Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Igor Jesus | 80% YES | 20% NO |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Corentin Tolisso | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Karol Świderski | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Talisca | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Anass Zaroury | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Andrija Živković | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The 2025-26 UEFA Europa League will run from August 2025 through May 2026, with the tournament's leading goalscorer determined across all qualifying rounds, group stages, and knockout matches. The current order book on Polymarket prices the YES position at 81%, reflecting confidence that a clear top scorer will be identified and officially recognised by UEFA before the 21 May 2026 settlement deadline.
Historical precedent suggests this probability is well-calibrated. The Europa League has consistently crowned a top scorer in every season since its rebranding in 2009-10, with UEFA's official statistics reliably determining leaders even in years with tied goal tallies. Recent tournaments have seen prolific performers from major clubs—players like Edin Dzeko, Artem Dovbyk, and Serhou Guirassy accumulated 8-12 goals across full campaigns. The 19% NO position likely reflects tail risks: tournament cancellation, severe fixture congestion forcing postponement beyond the June 2026 deadline, or administrative failure to declare an official leader.
Traders should monitor squad composition announcements and injury developments at clubs likely to field strong attacking talent, particularly those from the "Big Five" leagues. The draw for group-stage pairings in August 2025 will clarify competitive intensity and fixture scheduling. UEFA's fixture calendar and any potential fixture congestion from concurrent domestic competitions could affect goal-scoring opportunities. Recent reporting from ESPN and official UEFA communications will signal any structural changes to competition format that might impact the likelihood of a definitive top scorer being crowned.
The UEFA Europa League, known until 2009 as the UEFA Cup, is an annual association football cup competition organised by UEFA since 1971, and it is the second most important club competition in Europe. Originally a knockout competition, it later evolved to include group stages and a series of qualifying rounds. This article lists both the competition's seas
Fox currently airs soccer matches in the United States. These matches are from the FIFA World Cup, the FIFA Women's World Cup, the UEFA European Championship, the Gold Cup and Copa América. With the network currently also airing select MLS and Liga MX matches. Fox formerly aired the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League, the Premier League, the Bundes
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "UEFA Europa League: Top Scorer" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$10K in lifetime turnover and $239 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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