Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Riyadh Saudi Club and Al Okhdood SC, scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC match originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Al Riyadh Saudi Club will face Al Okhdood SC in a Saudi Professional League fixture on 21 May 2026. The market prices the probability of an exact final score at 49% YES across Polymarket's order book, reflecting substantial uncertainty around which specific scoreline will materialise. Settlement occurs at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any result outside the explicitly listed outcomes resolving to "Any Other Score"—a category that typically captures 30–40% of probability mass in football exact-score markets.
Exact-score markets in domestic leagues tend to concentrate probability across a narrow range of outcomes. Historical patterns from comparable Saudi Professional League fixtures show that 1–0, 2–1 and 2–0 results account for roughly 45–55% of all matches, whilst scorelines beyond 3–2 become increasingly unlikely. The current 49% probability suggests the listed outcomes are capturing the most probable scenarios, with the remaining 51% distributed across less likely exact scores and the "Any Other Score" catch-all.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the fortnight before the fixture, particularly regarding injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel. Recent form and head-to-head records between these sides will influence expected goal-scoring patterns. Fixture congestion in the Saudi Professional League's final weeks may affect team rotation decisions and fatigue levels, potentially shifting the distribution towards lower-scoring outcomes. Any official postponement announcements would extend the settlement window accordingly.
Riyadh is the capital and largest city of Saudi Arabia. It is also the capital of the Riyadh Province and the centre of the Riyadh Governorate. Located on the eastern bank of Wadi Hanifa, the current form of the metropolis largely emerged in the 1950s as an expansion of the 18th-century walled town, following the dismantling of its defensive fortifications.
Riyadh F.C. or Al-Riyadh is a professional football club based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. It currently plays in the Saudi Pro League. It was established in 1953 as Ahli Al-Riyadh, then changed its name to Al-Yamamah and finally to Al-Riyadh. Best known for its football team, Al-Riyadh also have squads in other sports.
Al Riyadh is a Riyadh-based, pro-government Saudi daily newspaper. Its sister paper was Riyadh Daily that was in circulation between 2003 and 1 January 2004. Al Riyadh is one of the dominant papers in Nejd.
Al-Riyadh Saudi Women's Club, commonly known as Al-Riyadh Ladies is a Saudi women's professional football club, representing Al-Riyadh SC. It competed in Saudi Women's Premier League, following promotion in the 2022–23 season, achieved by winning the First Division League.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $307 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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