Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for May 15 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| O/U 1.5 | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| Damac Saudi Club (-1.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5) | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Damac Saudi Club (-2.5) | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5) | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 46% YES | 55% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 24% YES | 77% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 11% YES | 90% NO |
Damac Saudi Club will face Al Fayha Saudi Club in a Saudi Professional League fixture on 15 May 2026. The market is pricing a 71% probability for the "more markets" outcome, reflecting current order book activity on Polymarket. This settlement window closes at 18:00 UTC on the match date, giving traders approximately four months to position ahead of the event.
The implied probability of 71% sits at the upper end of typical pre-match assessments for Saudi Professional League games involving mid-table sides. Damac and Al Fayha have historically occupied similar competitive tiers, with neither club commanding consistent dominance in recent seasons. Previous encounters between comparable SPL clubs have shown that home advantage and squad rotation patterns in the weeks preceding May significantly influence match outcomes. The current probability reflects expectations of additional market liquidity and trading activity rather than a directional view on either team's performance.
Traders should monitor squad announcements, injury reports, and managerial changes through April and early May. The Saudi Professional League's fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season often affects team selection and tactical approaches. Recent league standings and form sheets will clarify whether either club is competing for European qualification or battling relegation concerns, factors that materially shift match intensity. Any significant personnel changes at either club in the months preceding the fixture could prompt repricing on Polymarket's order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$302 in lifetime turnover and $97K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $302 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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