Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Romania SuperLiga game, scheduled for May 11 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FCSB (-1.5) | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5) | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| FCSB (-2.5) | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| AFC Unirea Slobozia (-2.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 80% YES | 20% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
FCSB and AFC Unirea Slobozia will meet in the Romania SuperLiga on 11 May 2026, with the match scheduled for 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 61% implied probability for additional markets being offered on this fixture, suggesting moderate confidence amongst traders that supplementary betting options will become available before settlement on 11 May at 18:00 UTC.
Historical precedent indicates that major European league fixtures typically attract expanded market offerings as match day approaches. In Romania's top division, established clubs like FCSB—one of the country's most prominent sides—generally see deeper liquidity and more granular market coverage than lower-profile opponents. Slobozia, a smaller club by comparison, has less consistent market depth. The 61% probability sits between routine fixture coverage and sparse market conditions, reflecting uncertainty about whether this particular matchup will warrant the additional markets that typically accompany high-interest games.
Traders should monitor FCSB's league position and any injury announcements in the week preceding the fixture, as these factors influence whether platforms expand their market suite. The timing of the settlement window—closing just hours after the scheduled kick-off—means that market creation decisions must occur well before match day. Any significant squad news or changes to fixture scheduling could alter platform operators' assessment of demand for supplementary markets on this encounter.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.lpf.ro/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "FCSB vs. AFC Unirea Slobozia - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24K in lifetime turnover and $44K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $24K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.lpf.ro/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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