Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Sunday, May 31, 2026 between NJ/NY Gotham FC and Houston Dash.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| NJ/NY Gotham FC | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Draw (NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Houston Dash) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Houston Dash | 45% YES | 56% NO |
Gotham FC will face Houston Dash in an NWSL regular-season fixture on 31 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Gotham's victory at 47 per cent, reflecting a competitive matchup where neither side is favoured decisively. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity as market participants weigh team form, injury status, and venue factors ahead of the settlement window closing at 19:00 UTC on match day.
Gotham FC and Houston Dash have established themselves as mid-table to upper-tier competitors in recent NWSL seasons, though their relative strength has fluctuated. Historical head-to-head records and seasonal performance trajectories matter here: teams with stronger recent form and deeper squads typically command higher implied probabilities in comparable fixtures. The 47 per cent mark suggests traders view this as genuinely uncertain, neither team holding clear structural advantage at this distance from kick-off.
Traders should monitor squad announcements through May, particularly regarding injuries to key players on either side. International call-ups for Olympic qualifiers or other tournaments could affect roster availability late in the month. Weather conditions at the venue and any late tactical shifts disclosed by either manager in pre-match interviews will sharpen probability estimates closer to kick-off. Recent NWSL standings and form lines—available through official league sources—will anchor fundamental reassessments as the settlement window approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "NJ/NY Gotham FC vs. Houston Dash" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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