Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between Denver Summit FC and Orlando Pride.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Denver Summit FC | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Draw (Denver Summit FC vs. Orlando Pride) | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Orlando Pride | 32% YES | 69% NO |
Denver Summit FC will face Orlando Pride in an NWSL regular-season fixture on Saturday, 16 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 37% probability of a Denver victory, with that price formed across the exchange's liquidity pools as traders have positioned ahead of the match. Settlement occurs after the final whistle on 17 May at 00:45 UTC.
Denver and Orlando represent mid-table franchises in the NWSL's competitive landscape. Historical head-to-head records between these sides show relatively balanced outcomes, though home-field advantage has proven significant in women's football—teams playing at altitude in Denver have shown marginal performance shifts. Orlando's record against western conference opponents in 2025 and early 2026 seasons provides relevant context; the club has struggled with consistency on the road, whilst Denver's home record at Dick's Sporting Goods Park has been stronger than away performances. Current league standings and recent form will be material to how the probability shifts before kickoff.
Key catalysts for traders include team news on injuries or roster changes, which the NWSL typically announces mid-week before fixtures. Weather conditions at Denver's elevation can affect play style and fatigue profiles. Fixture congestion—whether either side has played midweek—will influence available squad depth. Recent managerial statements or tactical adjustments may surface in pre-match press conferences. The settlement window closes shortly after final whistle, leaving minimal time for dispute resolution, so traders should monitor official NWSL confirmation of the result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Denver Summit FC vs. Orlando Pride" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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