Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for May 29 at 1:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Vålerenga Fotball (-1.5) | 45% YES | 55% NO |
| Kristiansund BK (-1.5) | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5) | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Kristiansund BK (-2.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 63% YES | 37% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 87% YES | 14% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
Vålerenga and Kristiansund meet in the Norwegian Eliteserien on 29 May 2026, with the fixture scheduled for 13:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting moderate conviction amongst traders that secondary betting markets or additional prop options will be offered for this match. This probability has formed through cumulative trading activity and represents the marginal price at which buyers and sellers have reached equilibrium today.
Historical precedent shows that Eliteserien fixtures typically attract supplementary markets once they reach the final fortnight before kick-off, particularly when involving clubs with established supporter bases like Vålerenga. The settlement criteria hinge on whether brokers or the primary market operator expand their offering beyond standard match outcomes. Previous seasons have seen roughly 60–70% of top-flight Norwegian fixtures generate extended markets, though this varies by operator and fixture prominence.
Traders should monitor official Eliteserien communications and betting operator announcements in the week preceding the match. Vålerenga's recent form and league position will influence commercial interest; a side competing for European qualification typically triggers broader market coverage. Injury reports and team news released closer to kick-off may also prompt operators to launch additional markets, as liquidity providers seek to capitalise on heightened engagement. The settlement window closes 29 May at 17:00 UTC, allowing roughly four hours post-match for market confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.eliteserien.no/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$75 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.eliteserien.no/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 29 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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