Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for May 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Wild vs. Avalanche | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 82% YES | 19% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| O/U 6.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| O/U 7.5 | 27% YES | 74% NO |
The Minnesota Wild face the Colorado Avalanche in an NHL matchup scheduled for 13 May at 8:00PM ET, with the settlement window closing the following day. The market currently reflects a 40% implied probability for a Wild victory, suggesting the crowd favours the Avalanche at 60%. This probability is being formed through the order book on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the relative strength of both franchises heading into what appears to be a playoff or late-season contest.
Historically, matchups between these two teams have been competitive, though recent seasons have seen the Avalanche establish themselves as a stronger outfit following their 2022 Stanley Cup victory. The Wild have remained a consistent playoff contender but have struggled against elite teams in high-stakes situations. The current 40% probability for Minnesota aligns with their underdog status in such matchups, though it reflects meaningful uncertainty rather than dismissal of their chances.
Traders should monitor roster availability in the days before the fixture, particularly injury reports for key players on either side. The Avalanche's depth and recent form typically command respect in pricing, yet the Wild's playoff experience and home-ice advantage (if applicable) could shift the order book. Weather conditions and travel logistics, whilst rarely decisive, occasionally surface as minor factors in late-season fixtures. Settlement hinges on the final score including overtime and shootout outcomes, with any postponement extending the market until completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nhl.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Wild vs. Avalanche" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$16K in lifetime turnover and $20K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $15K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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