Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Spurs vs. Knicks | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Team to Score First | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The San Antonio Spurs face the New York Knicks in an NBA matchup scheduled for 8 June at 8:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 38% implied probability for a Spurs victory, with the remaining 62% distributed to a Knicks win. This probability has formed through live trading activity on the platform's order book, where participants have priced the matchup based on available information regarding team form, roster status, and historical performance.
The Spurs have historically operated as a lower-seed or play-in contender in recent seasons, whilst the Knicks have demonstrated improved competitiveness in the Eastern Conference. Comparable NBA matchups between teams of similar relative strength typically see probabilities cluster around 45-55% ranges, suggesting the current 38% Spurs probability indicates market participants are assigning meaningful advantage to the Knicks. This positioning reflects both team trajectory and the specific context of the fixture date in early June, which falls within playoff scheduling windows.
Traders should monitor roster availability announcements in the days preceding the match, particularly regarding injury status for key contributors on either side. Recent team performance metrics, including offensive efficiency and defensive ratings from their most recent games, will inform late-trading adjustments. Scheduling factors—such as rest days and travel—can materially shift probabilities in NBA markets, particularly during compressed playoff periods. Any official postponement announcements would extend the settlement window beyond the current deadline of 9 June at 00:30 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nba.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Spurs vs. Knicks" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$177 in lifetime turnover and $341 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $177 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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