Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLS game between Nashville SC and New York City FC, scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Nashville SC vs. New York City FC match originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Nashville SC will face New York City FC in an MLS regular-season match on 23 May 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any score not explicitly listed resolving to "Any Other Score." The 48% implied probability on YES outcomes reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the match concludes with one of the pre-specified exact scorelines rather than an unlisted result.
Exact-score markets in MLS typically see YES probabilities cluster between 35–55% depending on the number of listed outcomes and historical scoring patterns. Nashville SC and NYCFC averaged 2.3 and 2.1 goals per match respectively during the 2025 season, suggesting moderate-scoring fixtures. The breadth of possible exact scores—ranging from 0–0 through higher differentials—naturally distributes probability across many outcomes, keeping any single scoreline's likelihood modest. The current 48% reflects a balanced market view that listed outcomes collectively account for roughly half of plausible final scores.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or suspensions in the days before the fixture, as absences of key attacking or defensive players materially shift expected goal distributions. Weather conditions at the venue and any late scheduling changes could also influence scoring patterns. Recent MLS form, particularly Nashville's home record and NYCFC's away performance, will be priced into order book adjustments as the match approaches. The settlement window closes shortly after final whistle on 24 May, leaving minimal time for post-match adjustments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Nashville SC vs. New York City FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $272 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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