Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for May 2 at 8:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Houston Dynamo (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Houston Dynamo (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Houston Dynamo will face Colorado Rapids in an MLS regular-season fixture on 2 May 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. The settlement window for this market closes on 3 May at 00:30 UTC, capturing the full match result and any overtime periods. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either an absence of active liquidity at the YES side or a consensus view among market participants that the condition for settlement is unlikely to occur.
Historical MLS matchups between these sides show competitive fixtures with variable outcomes. The Rapids have demonstrated inconsistent form in recent seasons, whilst Houston typically maintains mid-table stability. Markets pricing outcomes at extreme probabilities—either 0% or 100%—often indicate thin order books rather than certainty. Traders should examine the depth of Polymarket's order book to distinguish between genuine consensus and insufficient participation. Comparable MLS markets on the platform typically show more distributed probability distributions across multiple outcomes.
Key variables include team news released in the days before 2 May, including injury reports and squad rotation decisions. Both clubs' league standings and playoff positioning at that point in the season will influence tactical approach and motivation. Weather conditions in Houston during early May can affect playing style. Traders should monitor official MLS communications and team announcements for lineup confirmations, which typically emerge 24–48 hours before kickoff. The settlement window's timing—closing just after the match concludes—leaves minimal window for dispute resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids SC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$26K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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