Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres, scheduled for June 5 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| NRFI | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The New York Mets travel to San Diego on 5 June for an evening fixture against the Padres, with the market currently pricing both sides at even money on Polymarket's order book. The 50% implied probability reflects genuine uncertainty heading into the contest, with neither team commanding a clear advantage in the eyes of active traders forming the current spread.
Historical matchups between these franchises show competitive balance, though context matters considerably. The Mets and Padres occupy different divisional structures, limiting regular-season frequency, yet their recent head-to-head records suggest neither holds a pronounced edge. Comparable June fixtures in MLB typically see probabilities cluster around 48–52% for evenly matched opponents, particularly when neither team enters the week with exceptional form or injury circumstances that would shift the needle materially.
Traders should monitor roster status in the days preceding the match, particularly starting pitcher assignments and any late-breaking injuries to key position players. Weather conditions at Petco Park—notably marine layer effects that can suppress offensive output—merit attention given San Diego's coastal location. Recent team performance streaks, run differential trends, and bullpen availability will inform whether the current 50-50 split holds or shifts as game time approaches. Official MLB injury reports and team announcements through 4 June represent the primary catalysts that could move the order book meaningfully from its current equilibrium.
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Below is an alphabetical list of every player that has played for the New York Mets of Major League Baseball since the franchise's inception in 1962. Included are the seasons in which they played for the Mets and their primary position(s).
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $20K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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