Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for Monday, May 11, 2026 between RCA Zemamra and Olympic Dcheira.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| RCA Zemamra | 54% YES | 46% NO |
| Draw (RCA Zemamra vs. Olympic Dcheira) | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Olympic Dcheira | 17% YES | 83% NO |
RCA Zemamra and Olympic Dcheira will contest a Moroccan Botola Pro fixture on 11 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 54% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting near-even odds between the two sides. This probability has formed through active trading across the market's depth, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating moderate liquidity typical of domestic African football markets on the platform.
Botola Pro matches between mid-table and lower-ranked sides historically exhibit high variance in outcomes, making probability assessment difficult. RCA Zemamra and Olympic Dcheira occupy similar positions in the league hierarchy, which explains the near-50/50 split in current pricing. Comparable fixtures between similarly-ranked Moroccan clubs show that home advantage typically shifts implied probability by 3–7 percentage points, though this effect varies with squad composition and recent form. The 54% figure suggests traders are pricing in either a slight home advantage or marginal form advantage for one side.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates as the settlement window approaches, particularly any announcements regarding key players in the fortnight before the match. Fixture congestion in the Botola Pro schedule may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions in Morocco during May are stable, so pitch and climate factors are unlikely to shift probabilities materially. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on 11 May 2026, giving traders until match completion to adjust positions based on live information.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "RCA Zemamra vs. Olympic Dcheira" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$79 in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $79 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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