Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Morocco Botola Pro game, scheduled for Wednesday, May 6, 2026 between Maghreb AS de Fès and Raja Club Athletic.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Maghreb AS de Fès | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Raja Club Athletic) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Raja Club Athletic | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Maghreb AS de Fès will face Raja Club Athletic in a Morocco Botola Pro fixture on Wednesday, 6 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders are pricing either an extremely low likelihood of the specified result or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful market. Settlement occurs at 20:00 UTC on that date.
Raja Club Athletic remains one of Morocco's most successful clubs, having won the Botola Pro title multiple times in recent seasons, whilst Maghreb AS de Fès operates in a lower tier of domestic competitiveness. Historical matchups between these sides typically favour Raja, and the current probability distribution reflects that structural advantage. However, domestic cup competitions and mid-table league fixtures have occasionally produced upsets when Raja fields reserve squads or faces fixture congestion.
Traders should monitor team news in the weeks preceding the match, particularly injury announcements and squad rotation decisions by Raja's coaching staff. The Botola Pro schedule often intensifies in May as clubs pursue title races or European qualification spots, which can affect team selection. Additionally, any fixture postponements or rescheduling announcements would alter settlement conditions. Current liquidity appears minimal, meaning even modest order placement could shift the implied probability significantly once trading activity increases closer to the match date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.frmf.ma/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Raja Club Athletic" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.frmf.ma/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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