Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 7 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Ninjas in Pyjamas face Anyone's Legend in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LPL Group Ascend competition on 7 May 2026, with the fixture scheduled for 7:00 AM ET. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for Ninjas in Pyjamas victory, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in their superiority or sparse liquidity at the current odds.
The LPL's competitive structure has historically produced predictable outcomes when established organisations face newer or lower-ranked rosters. Ninjas in Pyjamas, despite roster changes and regional competition shifts, maintain institutional experience and infrastructure advantages typical of organisations that consistently qualify for international tournaments. Anyone's Legend's participation in Group Ascend indicates a developmental or secondary-tier status within the league's hierarchy. Markets pricing one team at near-certainty typically reflect either substantial skill gaps or limited information about challenger team capabilities.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and recent scrim results in the week preceding the match, as the LPL community often discusses team form through social media and esports news outlets. Fixture delays remain a material risk given the league's scheduling pressures; the settlement window extends to 7 days post-scheduled date, after which unresolved matches trigger 50-50 resolution. Any unexpected roster substitutions, particularly for Ninjas in Pyjamas, could shift the underlying match dynamics. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled should arrive via official LPL communications by 6 May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.8M in lifetime turnover and $2 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.8M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lplenglish. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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