Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Total corners markets for the La Liga game between Valencia CF and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Valencia CF will host Atlético Madrid on 2 May 2026 in a La Liga fixture. The corners market is currently pricing at 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating that either the threshold for total corners has been set at an exceptionally high level or liquidity remains sparse at current price levels. Settlement occurs at 14:15 UTC on match day, giving traders approximately five months to assess team patterns and refine positions.
Atlético Madrid averaged 5.8 corners per match across the 2024–25 La Liga season, whilst Valencia averaged 4.2. Historical head-to-head meetings between these sides typically generate 9–11 total corners, reflecting both teams' tendency towards direct play and set-piece reliance. The 0% probability on the order book suggests traders are either waiting for clearer pricing or the threshold is positioned above typical outcomes for this fixture. Comparable La Liga matches involving Atlético's defensive approach and Valencia's midfield intensity have settled between 8 and 12 corners in recent seasons.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries to key midfielders, as absences can reduce corner frequency through altered possession patterns. Valencia's fixture congestion in April 2026 may affect squad rotation decisions closer to the match. Atlético Madrid's European commitments, if any remain active in May, could influence their tactical setup. Weather conditions on match day—particularly wind, which affects crossing accuracy—will influence corner-taking behaviour. The settlement window's timing at 14:15 UTC means the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the final count.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid - Total Corners" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$810 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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