Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Total corners markets for the La Liga game between Real Betis Balompié and Elche CF, scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 30% YES | 70% NO |
Real Betis will host Elche at the Benito Villamarín on 12 May 2026 in what is scheduled as a La Liga fixture. The market is pricing the probability of exceeding a corners threshold at 54% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting modest conviction that the match will generate sufficient set-piece activity to clear the line. This probability has emerged from live trading rather than a fixed opening, meaning the current 54% reflects real-time positioning amongst traders monitoring the fixture.
La Liga matches in the 2025–26 season have averaged between 8 and 11 corners per game, with variance dependent on team style and opposition intensity. Real Betis typically generates 4–5 corners per match when playing at home, whilst Elche, a mid-table side, tends toward similar figures. Historical head-to-head meetings between these clubs show corner counts clustering around 9–10, though recent seasons have seen increased tactical fouling and defensive set-piece reliance across La Liga, which can suppress corner frequency if matches become cagey.
Traders should monitor team news in the final week before the fixture, particularly injury status for key playmakers on either side—attacking depth directly influences crossing volume and corner generation. Fixture congestion in late April and early May may affect squad rotation decisions, which could shift tactical approach. Weather conditions on match day, particularly wind strength at the Benito Villamarín, historically influence set-piece frequency. Settlement occurs at 18:00 UTC on 12 May, shortly after the final whistle.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF - Total Corners" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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