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Trade: KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz

50% YES 50% NO

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Hanwha Eagles and KT Wiz, scheduled for May 15 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Eagles" if the Hanwha Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "KT Wiz" if the KT Wiz win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$52
Total Volume
24h Volume
Open Interest
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz 50% YES50% NO

Market context

The Hanwha Eagles face the KT Wiz in a Korean Baseball Organisation fixture scheduled for 15 May at 5:30 AM ET. The market currently reflects a 50-50 split on Polymarket's order book, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding the outcome. This even pricing suggests neither side holds a clear edge in the eyes of active participants, with the settlement window extending to 22 May to accommodate any potential postponements.

Historically, matchups between these two KBO clubs have shown competitive balance, though seasonal form and roster composition shift considerably year to year. The Eagles and Wiz occupy different positions in the league hierarchy depending on the campaign, making historical head-to-head records less predictive than current-season performance metrics. Traders should examine each team's recent win-loss record, run differential, and standing within their division as of mid-May to contextualise the even odds.

Key variables affecting the outcome include starting pitcher assignments, which the KBO typically announces 24 to 48 hours before fixtures, and injury status of key position players. Weather conditions at the venue—temperature and wind patterns influence ball carry distance in Korean stadiums—warrant monitoring. Recent KBO news sources and official league announcements should be tracked for roster changes or managerial decisions that could shift the competitive balance. The extended settlement window accounts for the possibility of postponement due to weather or other scheduling conflicts common in May fixtures.

Wikipedia Context

  • Ramin Kohankhaki

    Ramin Kohankhaki is an Iranian nurse, Certified first responder, humanitarian and author. He received the Florence Nightingale Medal in 2015 for her work in nursing.

  • Kohanshahr-e Olya

    Kohanshahr-e Olya is a village in Najafabad Rural District, in the Central District of Sirjan County, Kerman Province, Iran. At the 2006 census, its population was 435, in 108 families.

  • Kohanshahr-e Sofla

    Kohanshahr-e Sofla is a village in Najafabad Rural District, in the Central District of Sirjan County, Kerman Province, Iran. At the 2006 census, its population was 108, in 24 families.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.koreabaseball.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$0 in lifetime turnover and $52 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 50%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.koreabaseball.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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