Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between SC Sagamihara and Vanraure Hachinohe FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SC Sagamihara | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Draw (SC Sagamihara vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC) | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC | 35% YES | 66% NO |
SC Sagamihara will host Vanraure Hachinohe FC in the J2 League on Saturday, 16 May 2026. The J2 is Japan's second-tier professional football division, operating under the J-League system. This fixture forms part of the 100 Year Vision League campaign, a long-term developmental framework for Japanese football. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 47% implied probability for a Sagamihara victory, suggesting near-parity in market expectations between the two clubs.
Historical performance data from recent J2 seasons indicates that home advantage typically carries meaningful weight in this division, with home sides winning approximately 42–45% of matches across recent campaigns. Sagamihara's home record and current league position relative to Hachinohe's away form will be critical reference points for calibrating the current probability. The 47% reading suggests traders are pricing in competitive balance rather than a strong home-field edge, which may reflect either comparable squad strength or uncertainty about current form heading into May 2026.
Key variables for traders to monitor include team news and injury updates in the weeks preceding the match, as squad availability often shifts probabilities materially in lower-tier leagues where depth is limited. Fixture congestion and recent results for both sides in April and early May will provide concrete form signals. Weather conditions at Sagamihara's venue and any tactical adjustments announced by either manager could also move the order book. The settlement window closes at 05:00 UTC on 16 May, allowing for late information flow before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "SC Sagamihara vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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